Friday, September 23, 2011

Fantasy Football Picks - Week Three

Every Friday at Mustache Sports, we do our best to provide you with some advice for your fantasy football team.  Hopefully, it's not the advice you will see on every other fantasy site.  Next week, we will let you know how we did. 


This week's Fantasy Football Picks were done by Monster.


Who We Really Like

Chris Johnson vs Denver
We’re two weeks into the season and I understand the hold out is reason enough for Johnson’s slow start this year.  But, if this guy is going to return to 2009/2010 form, then this has to be the week at home against a Denver Defense that is struggling.  The Broncos have no one on offense that can seem to stay healthy so I would not be surprised to see Tennessee up 10-14 points at the half and work in CJ to control the clock in the second half.

Any Healthy Philadelphia Eagle vs Giants
The Giants have more injuries on both sides of the ball than any other team this season thus far.  I don’t care if it’s Mike Vick or Mike Kafka taking snaps, I like McCoy/Jackson/Maclin big time in this game.  If Vick is out you can expect more of the short game meaning more receptions.  If Vick is in you can expect some big plays down the field.


Beanie Wells at Seattle
Many people were down on Wells this pre-season, but with favorable matchups and the Ryan Williams season-ending injury, this guy has shown tremendous value.  Seattle can’t stop anyone and the Cards should be up big early and run the ball later in the game.  This makes Beanie an excellent RB2 or flex option for Week 3.


Michael Turner at Tampa Bay
I like Tampa’s Pass Defense more than I do their Run Defense.  Peterson put up 120 yards and  2 TDs with no passing threat.  On the other hand, Atlanta has a passing threat, a big one and this won’t allow Tampa to stack the box.  Turner is a beast, expect a lot of touches and a big breakaway TD (Peterson was just a shoe-string tackle away from one last week).


Who We Might Like:


David Nelson vs New England
Obviously everyone loves Tom Brady and Ryan Fitzpatrick in this game, but Nelson had a solid performance last week and NE has a terrible pass defense.  In what looks to be a shootout, Nelson is a big target for Fitzpatrick in this game.  He’s has near 20 targets already this season as the #2 WR on the depth chart, and with Stevie Johnson dealing with a nagging groin injury that will affect his play even if he is active, expect that trend to continue.


Maurice Jones-Drew at Carolina
The NFL is messed up.  I think this week will be the week where we drop our jaws during games we expect to be blowouts and will see some upsets.  That being said: I like Jacksonville to pounce Carolina with the support of a big performance from MJD.  They’ll need to control clock with their only playmaker to keep the inexperienced, yet dangerous, Cam Newton off the field.


Nate Burleson at Minnesota
This is a game that will either be really close, or a blowout.  Everything really depends on whether Minny can control the clock with Adrian Peterson.  On Defense, the Vikings have dominated the first half and forced opposing offenses to throw the ball for big time comebacks.  They’ve done a good job at shutting down the #1 WR’s on the depth chart, but the Vikings have left the rest of the WR threats open.  This puts Burleson in a great position.  He’s a great deep threat and will burn Cedric Benson (23rd in pass defense this year) a couple times this game.


Dexter McCluster at San Diego
With Jamaal Charles out, someone has to step up and I’m not buying that it’s Thomas Jones.  McCluster is has tremendous talent.  Being down big, the Chiefs will lean on McCluster with Champ Bailey blanketing Dwayne Bowe.  I can’t believe Matt Cassel sucks this bad, so he will need to get his act together this week.  McCluster should help him do that.

Who We Don’t Like:


Eli Manning at Philadelphia
Eli is one of those guys that is a 10-12 QB overall, and that means you can spot start him.  Injuried WR’s + stacked secondary – Philly’s run defense (32nd in the league) = heavy rush attack by the Giants and less pass attempts and points for Eli.  Start someone else.


Mark Ingram vs Houston
This will be a shootout and both teams will be throwing downfield to fight for the lead.  I don’t see where Ingram fits into this game as he hasn’t shown a whole lot of “getting it done” in his short yardage role, let alone, breaking any big runs.  With Pierre Thomas and Darren Sproles showing more ability the last couple games, and Sproles getting a lot of action in the pass game, I don’t see many touches for Ingram unless the Saints go up big early, which is hard to predict for this game.


James Starks/Ryan Grant at Chicago
The Bears always play Green Bay tough, especially at home, and I can see them making a couple big plays on defense and special teams to put them ahead in this game.  Grant has shown almost no athletic ability and I have never been high on Starks.  The Packers will throw the ball if they want to win this game, and if they’re down or it’s close, I wouldn’t expect the pack to feed their under-performing RB’s to a mean and hungry Bears front seven.


Mike Thomas at Tennessee
When a team cuts David Garrard, benches the number 2 QB in Luke McCown, and starts a 1st round draft pick in Blaine Gabbert who has never started an NFL game,  you’d better stay away from anyone they might throw to.  There’s no doubt that Mike Thomas is talented, but with a rook behind center the Jags will try to control the clock with MJD as stated above.  There won’t be many opportunities for Thomas, and I doubt the chemistry between Thomas and Gabbert will be strong enough to make something happen.


Last weeks picks results:  Blue = hit, Green = okay, Red = bust


Who We Really liked:


Rex Grossman:  25 for 43, 291 pass yds, 2 TD, 2 INT


Mario Manningham:  3 rec, 56 yards, no TD


Colt McCoy:  22 for 32, 211 pass yds, 1 TD, 0 INT


Mike Tolbert:  0 rush yds, 8 rec, 73 rec yds, 0 TD, 1 FL


Who We Maybe liked:


Jason Campbell:  23 for 33, 323 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT


Kevin Kolb/Larry FitzKolb: 17 for 30, 251 pass yds, 2TD, 1 INT  Fitz: 7 recs, 133 rec yds, 1 TD    


New Orleans WR’s: Henderson: 3 recs, 103 rec yds, 1 TD  Meachem: 4 recs, 10 rec yds, 1 TD


Frank Gore:  47 rush yds, 3 recs, 17 rec yds, 1 TD


Who We Didn’t like:


Atlanta’s Offense:  35 points scored, only 195 pass yds but 4 TD’s, 138 rush yds


Cam Newton:  28 for 46, 432 pass yds, 53 rush yds, 1 TD, 3 INT


Maurice Jones Drew:  88 rush yds, 3 rec, 19 rec yds, no TD’s


Josh Freeman:  22 for 31, 243 pass yds, 16 rush yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

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