Friday, September 30, 2011

Fantasy Football Picks - Week Four

Every Friday at Mustache Sports, we do our best to provide you with some advice for your fantasy football team.  Hopefully, it's not the advice you see on every other fantasy site.  Next week, we will let you know how we did.


This week's Fantasy Football Picks were done by Monster.


Who We Really Like


Nate Washington at Cleveland
Two mediocre/borderline bad teams going at it this Sunday and Tennessee’s #1 WR in Kenny Britt is out for the season. Washington has been solid this season despite being on the field at the same time as Britt.  Look for him to be a solid WR the rest of the way.  This is a big game for both teams, I would not be surprised to see unexpected high scoring in this game.


Vincent Jackson vs Miami
Miami is in complete disarray folks, and the Dolphins can’t stop anyone on defense.  We haven’t seen much out of Vincent this season on a consistent basis, he’s either been feast or famine for fantasy owners, but this game should be a big one.  San Diego will be looking to get up early in the first half to blow it out and control the clock in the second half.  Miami’s Vonte Davis has underperformed to this point and I don’t see any improvement.  Jackson should be targeted often and in the red zone.


Michael Turner at Seattle
I’m picking him again.  Seattle sucks at football, but I can’t believe Atlanta has been this bad. They’re too talented on offense for that to continue.  Look for Turner to bust some big runs.  I see 100 yards, 2 TDs out of the back this week.


Jason Campbell vs New England
What did we see last time the Raiders faced a high powered offense from the AFC East?  I fully expect the Pats to dominate the passing game, get up by a ton of points early, and that's great news for Campbell owners.  It means, that unless DMAC can carry the team again, it will fall on Campbell to air it out to keep up with the Patriots. I think Campbell has the talent to do just that, especially with New England being extremely terrible in pass defense.


Who We Might Like


Michael Jenkins at Kansas City
Jenkins is seeing just as many targets as anyone else on the Vikings and he’s one of the few actually catching McNabb’s poor throws. He is especially valuable in PPR formats.  Kansas City is banged up on defense and I don’t see them stopping the Vikings at all.  Jenkins is a nice flex play this week.  


Mario Manningham at Arizona
A weak pass defense in Arizona and Eli finally showing us a flashes of brilliance last week lead me to believe Manningham should have a big week. of last season.  If Manningham recovers from his concussion this week (as all signs point to yes), then I see Manningham seeing the majority of the targets.  I’m sure we’ll see some shots down the field as well….IF he plays.


Jahvid Best at Dallas
I don’t see this game being close. Detroit will be up big early and they’ll turn to Best to eat clock in the second half.  Best had one decent run on the Vikings last week, but the Vikes defense is typically tough to run on.  I don’t have as much faith in the Cowboys stopping the run.  Jahvid Beast should have a solid game here in an offense that is on fire right now.


Andy Dalton vs Buffalo
I’m going out on a limb here, but it’s hard to pick sleeper QB’s without sounding like everyone else.  Dalton, being a rookie, is a huge risk and I’d only suggest starting him if you can flex a QB.  The Bengals are clearly rebuilding, they’ll be down early, and they’ll have to unleash Dalton in the pass game if they want any shot at staying competitive in this one game.  If I’m Cincinnati, I’m thinking this is a game where we put the pressure on Dalton and see how he responds.  The kid has shown talent already this season, I think he puts up some decent numbers this week, 325 yds passing, 3 TD’s


Who We Don't Like


Willis McGahee at Green Bay
Green Bay's number 1 run defense, at home, Denver’s offense struggling….it just doesn’t add up for McGahee this week.  Knowshon Moreno is supposedly back to full practice this week and probably will split the few carries available in this game.  Denver will most likely be getting blown out and passing to try and come from behind.


Matt Schaub vs Pittsburgh
I’m sure you’re starting him no matter what, unless you pick Ryan Fitzpatrick or Matt Stafford late in your draft, but I don’t see a huge game from Houston this week. Houston hasn’t faced that tough a defense yet this season and Schaub has folded under pressure before (see injury history).  I think Pittsburgh brings the juice on defense all day long and Schaub gets frustrated being roughed up all afternoon. I would guess this would be a down week for Matt Schaub.


Tony Romo vs Detroit
Suh plays dirty and Romo is as fragile as your mom’s glass vase
you just glued back together.  If he can make it through the whole game I’m sure Romo will put up the numbers, but I don’t think he makes it, I really don’t.  Everyone and they’re sister knows Tony Romo has a collapsed lung and broken ribs. Unless he can show super human scrambling skills, this man is as good as dead. 


Anquan Boldin/Lee Evans vs New York Jets
If Baltimore is going to win this game, (and I think they do) they’ll do it on the ground. The Jets pass defense is too good and I can’t see Bolding and Evans (coming back from injury) creating any kind of serious separation from Revis Island and company. I don’t see double digit targets for either of these guys.


Last week's pick results: Blue = hit, Green = ok, Red = bust


Who We Really Liked


Chris Johnson:  21 rush yds, 4 rec, 54 rec yds, no TD’s
Philadelphia Eagles Offense:  16 points 
Vick: hurt mid game for 176 pass yds, 0 TD, 1 INT  
McCoy:  128 rush Yds, 1 TD, 3 rec for 13 rec yds 
Maclin:  5 rec for 69 yds
Jackson:  2 rec for 30 yds
Beanie Wells:  Didn’t play due to last minute injury decision
Michael Turner:  20 rush yds, 0 TD’s


Who We Might Like


David Nelson:  6 rec for 84 rec yds, 0 TD’s
Maurice Jones-Drew:  122 rush yds, 3 rec for 45 rec yds, 0 TD
Nate Burleson:  2 rec for 12 rec yds
Dexter McCluster:  45 rush yds, 5 rec for 17 yds, 0 TD


Who We Didn't Like


Eli Manning:  16 for 23, 254 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT
Mark Ingram:  38 rush yds, 2 rec for -3 yds, 1 TD
GB Rushing:  Grant: 92 rush yds, 1 TD
Mike Thomas:  4 rec for 55 yds, 1 TD

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